Will the Sony WH-1000XM6 drop on Black Friday 2026?
Last year it barely moved. This year, expect a moderate cut, not a crash.
HappenedBlack Friday 2025
Its first Black Friday brought only a small cut, reported on 26 and 27 November.
ForecastBlack Friday 2026
Likely a moderate drop
- Last year the older XM5 fell much further than the XM6: age brings deeper cuts
- No XM7 announced, so no clear-out sale to push it lower
Should you wait for Black Friday?
Yes, if you can hold off three weeks. Older models got the deeper cuts last year, so expect a bit more this time, but don't expect half off: Sony kept last year's cut small. If it already sits near last year's Black Friday level, buying now loses you little.
The cheaper picks: what they really did
The percentages are real Black Friday 2025 cuts, as reported that week. The right column is our 2026 forecast.
Sennheiser Momentum 4 Wireless
Out since 2022
−56%Likely a big drop
Four years old, and the Momentum 5 is out. Old flagships get cleared.
Sony WH-1000XM5
Out since 2022
−38%Likely a big drop
Replaced by the XM6 and over three years old: expect another deep cut.
Soundcore Space One
Out since 2023
−32%Likely a moderate drop
Already cheap, and the newer Space 2 is out. A similar cut is likely.
What this means: Last year the deepest cuts hit older models. The XM5 keeps much of the XM6's quiet; the Momentum 4 brings the longer battery.
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Questions people ask
Will the Sony WH-1000XM6 be cheaper on Black Friday 2026?
Very likely, but by a moderate amount. Last year, its first Black Friday, the US cut was small. Last year the older XM5 fell much further, so a year of age should help.
Is a Sony WH-1000XM7 coming soon?
Sony hasn't announced one. The XM5 lasted three years before the XM6 replaced it, so a successor this year would be early. That's why we don't expect a clear-out price on the XM6.
Which noise-canceling headphones fell the most last Black Friday?
Among these, the Sennheiser Momentum 4, by far. Part of that is its high list price: it often sells well below it, so the cut looks bigger than it feels.
How we reached this
Last year's cuts are the ones named outlets reported during Black Friday week 2025, against the regular price they quoted. The forecast is our reading of each model's age, its successors and last year's cuts. We never show prices.
We haven't tested these products ourselves. Our picks weigh independent expert reviews against each maker's published specs and the prices we checked. Opinions are ours; facts link to where they come from. How we choose.
Sources: Tom's Guide: Black Friday 2025 headphone and earbud deals (live), Tom's Guide: Sennheiser Momentum 4 Black Friday deal, Engadget: Sony WH-1000XM5 Black Friday deal.