Black Friday 2026 headphone forecast: who drops, who doesn't
What each pair really did last Black Friday, and what we expect this year.
Will headphones be cheaper on Black Friday 2026?
Yes for older models, barely for the newest. Last year, pairs out since 2022 or 2023 fell by about a third or more, while the 2025 flagships from Sony and Bose moved only a little.
- Biggest drop last year
- Beats Studio Pro
- Smallest drop last year
- Bose QuietComfort Ultra Headphones (2nd Gen)
- Black Friday 2026
- November 27, 2026
Last year's real drops, and our 2026 call
The percentages are real Black Friday 2025 cuts, as reported that week. The right column is our 2026 forecast.
Beats Studio Pro
Out since 2023
−57%Likely a big drop
Out since 2023, and last year it was cut by more than half.
Sennheiser Momentum 4 Wireless
Out since 2022
−56%Likely a big drop
Out since 2022, and the Momentum 5 replaced it this year.
Sony WH-1000XM5
Out since 2022
−38%Likely a big drop
The older Sony flagship, still sold beside the XM6.
Soundcore Space One
Out since 2023
−32%Likely a moderate drop
A budget pair from 2023, now with a newer sibling.
Sony WH-1000XM6
Out since 2025
−13%Likely a moderate drop
Its second Black Friday, with no XM7 announced.
Bose QuietComfort Ultra Headphones (2nd Gen)
Out since 2025
−11%Likely a moderate drop
Its second Black Friday; last year's cut was small.
The pattern: the older the model, the deeper last year's cut. The newest flagships barely moved.
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Questions people ask
Which headphones drop the most on Black Friday?
Models that have been out for a few years, especially once a successor arrives. Last year the Beats Studio Pro (2023) and the Momentum 4 (2022) fell furthest here.
Do new headphones go on sale on their first Black Friday?
Usually only a little. Sony's XM6 and Bose's QC Ultra (2nd Gen) were new last November, and their cuts were the smallest in this table.
Is Black Friday or Cyber Monday better for headphones?
Last year most of these cuts were reported between 17 and 28 November, so they were already there before Cyber Monday. Waiting for Cyber Monday rarely changed the picture.
How we reached this
Last year's cuts are the ones named outlets reported during Black Friday week 2025, against the regular price they quoted. The forecast is our reading of each model's age, its successors and last year's cuts. We never show prices.
We haven't tested these products ourselves. Our picks weigh independent expert reviews against each maker's published specs and the prices we checked. Opinions are ours; facts link to where they come from. How we choose.
Sources: Tom's Guide: Black Friday 2025 headphone and earbud deals (live), Tom's Guide: Sennheiser Momentum 4 Black Friday deal, Engadget: Sony WH-1000XM5 Black Friday deal.