Will the Google Pixel Watch 4 drop on Black Friday 2026?
Only 14% off last year. With the Pixel Watch 5 out, expect more.
HappenedBlack Friday 2025
A small cut at Amazon, reported on 21 November.
ForecastBlack Friday 2026
Likely a big drop
- The Pixel Watch 5 went on sale in August 2026
- Last year's cut came in its launch autumn, when Google had no reason to push
Should you wait for Black Friday?
Yes, wait. Last year's deal said little, because the watch was brand new. A replaced Pixel is a different story. Check that the deal is on the Watch 4 and not the 5.
The cheaper picks: what they really did
The percentages are real Black Friday 2025 cuts, as reported that week. The right column is our 2026 forecast.
Fitbit Versa 4
Out since 2022
−40%Likely a big drop
Fitbit's sleep tracking in a lighter body. Fell 40% last year.
Fitbit Inspire 3
Out since 2022
−30%Likely a moderate drop
A slim band for steps and sleep; days of battery.
What this means: Last year the cheaper Fitbits fell much further than the Pixel Watch 4. This year the gap should narrow.
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Questions people ask
Pixel Watch 4 or Pixel Watch 5?
The Watch 4 already has the domed screen, dual-frequency GPS and Fitbit tracking. If its Black Friday cut is big, it's the better-value pick.
Does the Pixel Watch 4 need a Pixel phone?
No, any recent Android phone works. It doesn't work with an iPhone.
41 mm or 45 mm Pixel Watch 4?
The 45 mm has a bigger screen and longer battery. Last year's deal was on the 41 mm Wi-Fi model.
How we reached this
Last year's cuts are the ones named outlets reported during Black Friday week 2025, against the regular price they quoted. The forecast is our reading of each model's age, its successors and last year's cuts. We never show prices.
We haven't tested these products ourselves. Our picks weigh independent expert reviews against each maker's published specs and the prices we checked. Opinions are ours; facts link to where they come from. How we choose.
Sources: Tom's Guide: Pixel Watch 4 Black Friday deal, Tom's Guide: Black Friday smartwatch deals (live), TechRadar: Fitbit Inspire 3 Black Friday deal at Best Buy, Google: Pixel Watch 5 announced.